Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.192147 0.222581 0.256263 0.296306 0.342625 0.394533 0.457142
2025-08-10 0.140678 0.180390 0.228946 0.292698 0.374260 0.475204 0.609807
2025-08-17 0.110553 0.152080 0.206476 0.282977 0.387919 0.527042 0.725913
2025-08-24 0.095445 0.139046 0.199460 0.289331 0.419840 0.602849 0.879754
2025-08-31 0.082736 0.126666 0.190566 0.290362 0.442613 0.666748 1.023013
2025-09-07 0.073555 0.117719 0.184814 0.294256 0.468759 0.737072 1.182796
2025-09-14 0.063963 0.106593 0.173978 0.288344 0.478189 0.781910 1.307195
2025-09-21 0.056786 0.098247 0.166232 0.285937 0.492200 0.834544 1.449156
2025-09-28 0.051670 0.092586 0.162021 0.288559 0.514349 0.902230 1.623391
2025-10-05 0.049206 0.091139 0.164645 0.303032 0.558250 1.011181 1.881606
2025-10-12 0.046283 0.088459 0.164700 0.312730 0.594415 1.109978 2.132356
2025-10-19 0.043472 0.085611 0.164047 0.320887 0.628379 1.207978 2.392281
2025-10-26 0.040072 0.081314 0.160363 0.323154 0.651992 1.290349 2.634424
2025-11-02 0.036303 0.075845 0.153830 0.319099 0.662800 1.349422 2.837987
2025-11-09 0.032312 0.069422 0.144642 0.308500 0.658923 1.378515 2.982967
2025-11-16 0.030496 0.067320 0.143962 0.315428 0.692176 1.486726 3.307133
2025-11-23 0.028330 0.064194 0.140770 0.316553 0.713000 1.570889 3.588693
2025-11-30 0.026643 0.061915 0.139115 0.320799 0.741041 1.673356 3.922676
2025-12-07 0.024285 0.057834 0.133041 0.314352 0.744118 1.720829 4.135996
2025-12-14 0.022445 0.054741 0.128842 0.311727 0.755674 1.788570 4.404638
2025-12-21 0.021148 0.052788 0.127053 0.314587 0.780513 1.889649 4.765308
2025-12-28 0.020765 0.053024 0.130442 0.330368 0.838511 2.075564 5.357218
2026-01-04 0.020071 0.052399 0.131681 0.340944 0.884741 2.237841 5.908466